Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 14.868036 17.050264 19.459559 22.319842 25.626970 29.335365 33.815777
2025-10-19 12.242839 15.149639 18.623440 23.092540 28.707163 35.550129 44.557787
2025-10-26 10.148010 13.247653 17.164850 22.500771 29.615092 38.822900 51.723378
2025-11-02 8.768020 11.956131 16.173327 22.194079 30.625579 42.096574 59.027764
2025-11-09 7.730673 10.944543 15.366540 21.941940 31.552469 45.210864 66.316352
2025-11-16 6.885761 10.077849 14.626130 21.639304 32.289694 48.031592 73.385063
2025-11-23 6.153344 9.279699 13.877126 21.203133 32.722747 50.370183 79.892527
2025-11-30 5.872999 9.116289 14.033206 22.122067 35.279073 56.151469 92.392070
2025-12-07 5.495717 8.758537 13.844859 22.460849 36.918944 60.607745 103.182369
2025-12-14 5.085763 8.304868 13.454029 22.416420 37.898217 64.039775 112.565624
2025-12-21 4.694121 7.841776 12.999616 22.208886 38.557511 66.959126 121.319962
2025-12-28 4.530301 7.742324 13.134377 23.011479 41.034488 73.257175 136.875632
2026-01-04 4.333128 7.572444 13.140866 23.601410 43.214251 79.290526 152.747266
2026-01-11 4.187478 7.479138 13.270370 24.421779 45.895547 86.517785 171.792619
2026-01-18 3.841407 6.993700 12.654143 23.794061 45.758138 88.353608 180.230097
2026-01-25 3.572229 6.626299 12.220845 23.468761 46.165565 91.271575 191.203113
2026-02-01 3.336219 6.301006 11.837572 23.201334 46.652863 94.379610 202.913165
2026-02-08 3.115153 5.985930 11.446875 22.880360 46.992108 97.201721 214.304261
2026-02-15 2.897271 5.659460 11.007105 22.417787 46.984941 99.280983 224.249669
2026-02-22 2.855482 5.678946 11.251553 23.392380 50.133634 108.455067 251.616226
2026-03-01 2.750280 5.561154 11.208533 23.751716 51.969172 114.913831 273.342849
2026-03-08 2.612214 5.364612 10.987539 23.704591 52.887841 119.386511 290.773371
2026-03-15 2.468222 5.144596 10.700104 23.484465 53.387422 122.934039 306.316901